Marketing mix diagnostic: is your mix coherent?

Decision questionHow do you use “Marketing mix diagnostic” to prioritise corrections?

Assess the interactions that genuinely matter. The overall score does not hide the weak link: it turns it into a work priority.

Interactive toolVisible assumptionsExport available
Non-compensatory diagnosisTOOL / DIAG-02

Score coherence, evidence quality and economic impact. The index combines a geometric mean with the weakest link: several good scores do not offset a critical failure.

InteractionCoherenceEvidenceImpactAdjusted
Offer ↔ segmentFit between need, benefit and portfolio
62
Value ↔ priceWillingness to pay, margin and signal
44
Price ↔ channelNet price, commission, conflict and control
36
Channel ↔ demandIncremental reach and cost to serve
66
Promise ↔ experienceEvidence, delivery and perceived quality
58
Budget ↔ capacityDemand generated and capacity to execute
32
Measurement ↔ decisionCounterfactual, uncertainty and threshold
20
System index35/100Fragile
Weakest link20/100explicit penalty
Evidence quality58/100weighted by impact
Blockers3adjusted score < 40
1
Measurement ↔ decisionCounterfactual, uncertainty and threshold · Evidence 25% · Impact 4/5
20
2
Budget ↔ capacityDemand generated and capacity to execute · Evidence 50% · Impact 5/5
32
3
Value ↔ priceWillingness to pay, margin and signal · Evidence 50% · Impact 5/5
44
4
Price ↔ channelNet price, commission, conflict and control · Evidence 50% · Impact 4/5
36
Reading ruleThe index is not a performance score. A critical interaction with weak evidence should open an investigation, even when the overall index looks acceptable.

Priority = gap × impact × evidence uncertainty

Protocol of use

How to use the marketing mix diagnostic

The assumptions stay explicit and the final decision stays human.

  1. 01

    Assess the interactions of the mix on a common scale.

  2. 02

    For each interaction, qualify the level of evidence and the decision impact.

  3. 03

    Examine the blockers, the missing data and the weak link.

  4. 04

    Prioritise the investigations and set a review date for the decision.

In depth

Understand the mechanism before using the tool.

A mix diagnostic does not produce a decorative score: it locates the contradictions, quantifies their plausible impact and orders the investigations.

The diagnostic confronts the promise, the unit economics, the channels, the communication, the execution capacity and the quality of the evidence. Every finding must separate observed fact, assumption and judgement.

01Unit of analysis

The finest level at which action remains possible: segment, offer, channel, territory and period. An aggregate score must never offset a blocking risk.

02Horizon

Align the observation windows with the mechanism studied: immediate for an operational break, several cycles for retention, reputation or learning.

03Comparison

Compare the observed situation with an explicit target, with a comparable period and, where possible, with a unit unaffected by the change.

04Uncertainty

Separate missing data, measurement error, normal variability and causal uncertainty. These four problems do not call for the same investigation.

05Decision threshold

Prioritise a finding when its potential impact, its uncertainty and the value of a check exceed the cost and the delay of the inquiry.

Points of vigilance

The distinctions that prevent a misreading.

01Symptom

A falling conversion rate signals a problem; it does not identify its cause.

02Mechanism

A price increase can reduce volume, improve the customer mix or change the perception of quality.

03Priority

Priority combines potential impact, uncertainty, cost of verification and reversibility of the action.

Protocol

From framing to validation.

01Reconstruct the facts

Align periods, segments, units and sources; isolate the definition breaks.

02Test the dependencies

Connect each anomaly to the levers that could explain it, without confusing correlation with cause.

03Assess the evidence

Score availability, reliability, granularity and causal capability of the data separately.

04Prioritise

Rank the investigations by value of information and the actions by impact, risk and reversibility.

WORKED CASE

A rising unit margin can hide a destruction of value

Situation. After an 8% price increase, the unit margin rises from €42 to €49, but orders fall by 12%.

Calculation. Before: 10,000 × 42 = €420,000. After: 8,800 × 49 = €431,200. The gross gain is €11,200, before retention, acquisition and fixed costs.

Decision. The diagnostic does not yet conclude in favour of success: it opens the tests on customer composition, repeat purchase and acquisition cost.

Adversarial review

Five questions to settle before presenting a recommendation.

  1. Is the unit actionable?

    Check that it matches the level at which a decision can be executed and tracked. A broader average can reverse the reading by hiding loss-making segments, channels or periods.

  2. Does the horizon cover the mechanism?

    Recompute the conclusion over a short window and a long one. Immediate costs, retention, saturation and delayed effects do not materialise at the same time.

  3. Does the comparator really represent the absence of action?

    Explain what would have happened without the decision. A historical trend or an attribution of contacts is not enough if selection, seasonality or simultaneous changes remain active.

  4. Which assumption tips the choice?

    Identify the parameter that changes the ranking, publish its plausible range and show the prudent scenario. A recommendation without sensitivity hides its main risk.

  5. Who stops or revises the decision?

    Name the owner, the observed signal, the threshold and the review date. Without a stopping rule, a favourable pilot easily becomes a permanent, unexamined commitment.

Acceptance conditions

What must be true before acting.

  • Separate facts, interpretations and recommendations in the deliverable.
  • Do not aggregate segments whose mechanisms or margins differ.
  • Prioritise an anomaly only if its impact and its uncertainty are made explicit.

Limits

What the analysis does not prove.

  • A composite score can artificially offset a critical link with several good marks.
  • The available data favour the phenomena that are easy to measure, not necessarily the most important ones.
  • A diagnostic establishes a decision programme; on its own it does not prove the causes.

References

Works used to frame the method.

  • Rumelt, R. P. (2011), Good Strategy/Bad Strategy.
  • Kohavi, R., Tang, D. & Xu, Y. (2020), Trustworthy Online Controlled Experiments.

Evidence status

What was reproduced, and what it does not prove.

The fixture and the Python run verify adjusted scores, priorities, blockers, index, level and thresholds of the educational diagnostic. They validate no marketing performance.